Thursday, November 08, 2012

Statistician Crush



So, I have a confession. I am a numbers nerd! For those of you that know me, this probably not a surprise. However, to the blogosphere this may be :)

Anyways, during election season I was seriously addicted to polls. But I would totally ignore all the national poll mumbo jumbo, because if I learned anything from the worst election ever (hellooo 2000. nightmare) it's that national polls mean nada. So instead I relied on my favorite statistician in the world -- Nate silver over at five thirty eight blog on nytimes.com. I first started following him last election in 2008 and was seriously impressed by his ability to translate complex polls, numbers, etc in a readable and interesting blog. Oh and he was insanely accurate. He thus became my 'go to' guy whenever I needed to know what was really going on in this election. Just take a look at the graphic below to see how accurate he was....
Impressive, right? (OK, maybe I'm the only one getting giddy about data). Secretly, whenever I was freaking out over how close this election was, I knew in the back of my mind that nate silver said there was a 91.9% chance Obama was going to win on election day. And when working with the numbers, that is a seriously good chance of winning. As one of my favorite blogs said when they read a statistic that Romney was maybe going to win Pennsylvania..... "Nate silver please hold me and tell me everything's going to be ok." Everything was okay and I thank him for helping me sleep soundly on tuesday night when I knew most of North America was glued to the TV watching the battle royale.

Anywho, this will be the last political post from me for a while. Phewwwww. I did appreciate the few congrats I got in the office on wed. It was all me! (although, Both Barack and Michelle congratulated and thanked me via email, so I can understand their confusion). :)

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

If France Could Vote in the US Election....

So, in case you've been living under a rock, or just woke up from a coma (pretty much the only options), TODAY IS ELECTION DAY. OMG Even while living on another continent, the campaign has been driving me bonkers. I'm sooooo happy it will be over soon and we'll be able to continue our normal news programming (errrrr jk 24 hour news cycles are the pits).

Anywho, I knew in my gut how France would vote if it could in the US election, but a quick google search confirmed it with data -- France loves OBAMA. (Read more at the financial post). The post said that Obama may have "no stauncher friend than France" and Hollande apparently quipped that he should endorse Romney to move people to Obama's side ha.

Feeling pretty helpless on this side of the pond, I may or may not have made a few donations after watching the debates on youtube. Andrew has strictly forbidden me from watching debates or basically video of Romney whatsoever, for fear that I will donate our life savings (errrr pennies) to the Obama campaign. He may or may not be right to worry.

In the end, I cast my ballot about a month ago. Proof below! Good luck America!